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Subdued housing market suggests residential construction confidence is overblown
Construction worker
Subdued housing market suggests residential construction confidence is overblown
After hovering at close to zero throughout the first half of last year, expectations for residential construction activity from ANZ’s Business Outlook strengthened from July 2024 – as did many other indicators in the survey of business sentiment.
Thu 3 Jul 2025Gareth Kiernan🕓 4 min
Analysis
Cost-of-living pressures still felt by some
Copper-colored Coin Lot
Analysis
Cost-of-living pressures still felt by some
Despite a decline in the headline price inflation rate, a continued high level of withdrawals from KiwiSaver for financial hardship reasons suggests cost-of-living pressures are still being felt by some households.
Mon 30 Jun 2025Rob Heyes🕓 5 min
Chart of the month
Milk price range signals careful balance
Calves In Paddock
Chart of the month
Milk price range signals careful balance
Despite clear trade concerns globally, New Zealand’s primary sector is in a strong position, and high food commodity prices reinforce this strength. But Fonterra’s opening farmgate milk price forecast for the 2025/26 season provides a major signal of caution, highlighting the heightened volatility in global economic conditions, dairy supply dynamics, and trade tensions.
Mon 30 Jun 2025Brad Olsen🕓 3 min
Analysis
We’ve passed Peak Tractor
Green Tractor
Analysis
We’ve passed Peak Tractor
Tractors are often seen as a key piece of farm equipment, and long have been thought of as a good economic indicator of farm spending and investment. Despite the continued focus on tractors in New Zealand, and how they can act as a bellwether for the primary sector, in reality, things are shifting. Infometrics analysis shows that New Zealand passed peak tractor back in 2022, and they are likely become a less important indicator of primary sector activity as the sector shifts to different and more varied technology.
Mon 30 Jun 2025Brad Olsen🕓 5 min
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Analysis
Examining homelessness trends across New Zealand
Homeless, Penner, Poverty
Analysis
Examining homelessness trends across New Zealand
Homelessness is a clear challenge for some people in New Zealand. Although homelessness numbers are small, on a relative basis, housing outcomes for nearly 112,000 people are still far too precarious to be ignored. Homelessness comes in different forms, and with different patterns of need across New Zealand.
Fri 27 Jun 2025Brad Olsen🕓 7 min
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A higher bar for pay equity
Wallet with Euro Currency Notes and Plant
A higher bar for pay equity
On 6 May 2025, Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden announced the Government was amending the Equal Pay Act, including discontinuing current pay equity claims and raising the bar for future claims to be successful. Here we look at the number of workers whose pay equity claims were discontinued and the types of occupations affected.
Wed 18 Jun 2025Rob Heyes🕓 4 min
Media release
Costs from grocery suppliers to supermarkets increase 2.0%pa in May
Foodstuffs_Supplies_2022_Resized.original.jpg
Media release
Costs from grocery suppliers to supermarkets increase 2.0%pa in May
The pace of supplier cost increases to Foodstuffs supermarkets remained steady in May, with the Infometrics-Foodstuffs New Zealand Grocery Supplier Cost Index (GSCI) showing an average 2.0% increase in what suppliers charged in May 2025, compared to a year earlier.
Mon 16 Jun 2025Brad Olsen🕓 3 min
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RBNZ tariff scenarios provide clarity on effects of the trade war
A person holding a crystal ball in their hand
RBNZ tariff scenarios provide clarity on effects of the trade war
Late last month the Reserve Bank released its latest Monetary Policy Statement, which included forecast scenarios based on different ways the ongoing trade war could evolve and effect the New Zealand economy.
Thu 12 Jun 2025Matthew Allman🕓 4 min
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Migration trends affect both demand and supply for construction
Migration trends affect both demand and supply for construction
Net migration is one of the big uncertainties currently when trying to forecast future residential construction activity levels.
Thu 5 Jun 2025Gareth Kiernan🕓 3 min
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Analysis
Turning the tide on maths proficiency
Monochrome Photo of Math Formulas
Analysis
Turning the tide on maths proficiency
On 12 May, the Government announced that they would invest almost $100m over four years to improve student achievement in maths. Do school students need this extra maths teaching support, and will the changes make any difference?
Thu 29 May 2025Rob Heyes🕓 6 min